Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.004389 0.004623 0.004863 0.005129 0.005415 0.005714 0.006052
2025-08-24 0.003970 0.004313 0.004682 0.005108 0.005590 0.006121 0.006752
2025-08-31 0.003696 0.004098 0.004542 0.005072 0.005692 0.006399 0.007273
2025-09-07 0.003467 0.003904 0.004399 0.005004 0.005730 0.006582 0.007671
2025-09-14 0.003276 0.003737 0.004268 0.004931 0.005745 0.006726 0.008014
2025-09-21 0.003155 0.003642 0.004213 0.004939 0.005849 0.006972 0.008489
2025-09-28 0.002966 0.003455 0.004034 0.004782 0.005736 0.006935 0.008589
2025-10-05 0.002871 0.003376 0.003983 0.004778 0.005811 0.007135 0.009007
2025-10-12 0.002826 0.003355 0.004000 0.004859 0.005994 0.007482 0.009639
2025-10-19 0.002732 0.003269 0.003930 0.004821 0.006018 0.007613 0.009976
2025-10-26 0.002650 0.003194 0.003870 0.004793 0.006050 0.007755 0.010333
2025-11-02 0.002572 0.003120 0.003808 0.004758 0.006071 0.007878 0.010666
2025-11-09 0.002544 0.003111 0.003831 0.004840 0.006255 0.008244 0.011389
2025-11-16 0.002478 0.003050 0.003783 0.004821 0.006299 0.008408 0.011813
2025-11-23 0.002411 0.002984 0.003727 0.004788 0.006318 0.008534 0.012185
2025-11-30 0.002337 0.002907 0.003651 0.004725 0.006289 0.008587 0.012438
2025-12-07 0.002266 0.002832 0.003576 0.004658 0.006251 0.008622 0.012662
2025-12-14 0.002225 0.002796 0.003553 0.004665 0.006322 0.008827 0.013180
2025-12-21 0.002133 0.002688 0.003428 0.004520 0.006159 0.008657 0.013047
2025-12-28 0.002094 0.002652 0.003401 0.004517 0.006210 0.008826 0.013512
2026-01-04 0.002083 0.002654 0.003427 0.004591 0.006382 0.009197 0.014361
2026-01-11 0.002037 0.002606 0.003380 0.004556 0.006382 0.009287 0.014705
2026-01-18 0.001995 0.002563 0.003341 0.004530 0.006394 0.009398 0.015093